PUBLICATION

This paper presents a novel approach to understanding global crises and trade patterns through the creation and analysis of a temporal Knowledge Graph (tKG). Combining data from the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) and Global Trade Alerts (GTA), the tKG provides a comprehensive view of the intersection between worldwide crises and global trade over time. The paper details the process of creating the tKG, including the aggregation and merging of information from multiple sources. Additionally, the paper offers insights into the analysis of the tKG and its potential applicability to data-driven Resilience Research. As an initial application, the tKG can be used to predict global trade events, such as trade sanctions across various categories and countries, based on global conflict events, to identify potential trade disruptions and anticipate the economic impact of global conflicts.